Reference

TypeArticle
TitleExtending the Quantitative Assessment of Industrial Risks to Earthquake Effects
AuthorsMichela Campedel, Valerio Cozzani, Anita Garcia-Agreda, and Ernesto Salzano
JournalRisk Analysis
Year2008
Volume28
Number5
Pages1231-1246
Abstract

In the general framework of quantitative methods for natural-technological (NaTech) risk analysis, a specific methodology was developed for assessing risks caused by hazardous substances released due to earthquakes. The contribution of accidental scenarios initiated by seismic events to the overall industrial risk was assessed in three case studies derived from the actual plant layout of existing oil refineries. Several specific vulnerability models for different equipment classes were compared and assessed. The effect of differing structural resistances for process equipment on the final risk results was also investigated. The main factors influencing the final risk values resulted from the models for equipment vulnerability and the assumptions for the reference damage states of the process equipment. The analysis of case studies showed that in seismic zones the additional risk deriving from damage caused by earthquakes may be up to more than one order of magnitude higher than that associated to internal failure causes. Critical equipment was determined to be mainly pressurized tanks, even though atmospheric tanks were more vulnerable to containment loss. Failure of minor process equipment having a limited hold-up of hazardous substances (such as pumps) was shown to have limited influence on the final values of the risk increase caused by earthquakes.

Files
NoFileURLAccess Date
1.PDF Document (287.93 KB)http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2008.01092.x/pdf2015/02/06
AccessPublic
Created: Vincenzo ARCIDIACONO, 2014/01/22 14:34:52 – Updated: Serkan GIRGIN, 2015/02/06 09:12:42

Damage Classifications

NoPlant Unit TypeNameDescription
1.AllCampadel et al. (2008)

Damage states for pressurized equipment.

4

Fragility Curves

NoNameDamage ClassificationParameterUnitValidity Conditions
1.Campedel et al. (2009) - Horizontal pressurized storage tanksCampadel et al. (2008)PGAgShape: Cylindrical Horizontal, Cylindrical Dished Horizontal; Base Type: Above Ground; Storage Condition: Pressure, Gas liquefied under pressure, Gas under pressureY3-

Risk Assessment

Natural Hazards

Industrial Plants

Scientific

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